79 lines
3.1 KiB
Markdown
79 lines
3.1 KiB
Markdown
---
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title: "Discrimination Metrics"
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type: concept
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tags: [model-evaluation, classification-metrics, model-performance]
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sources:
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- specialized-model-qa
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last_updated: 2026-05-29
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---
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## Definition
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判别能力指标(Discrimination Metrics)衡量模型区分正例与负例的能力——给定一个随机正例和一个随机负例,模型有多大概率给正例更高的分数。区别于校准(衡量概率准确性),判别度衡量排序正确性。
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## Core Metrics
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### AUC (Area Under the ROC Curve)
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- ROC 曲线下面积,取值 [0.5, 1.0]
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- 0.5 = 随机猜测,1.0 = 完美区分
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- 解读:给定随机正例和随机负例,有 AUC 概率给正例更高分数
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- **优势**:阈值无关,对类别不平衡相对稳健
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### Gini Coefficient
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- $Gini = 2 \times AUC - 1$
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- 取值 [0, 1.0],与 AUC 线性等价
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- 金融行业常用(信用卡评分、信贷风控)
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- 监管报告标准指标
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### KS Statistic (Kolmogorov-Smirnov)
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- 两个累积分布函数(正例 vs 负例)之间的最大垂直距离
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- $KS = \max_t |F_{pos}(t) - F_{neg}(t)|$
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- 取值 [0, 1.0];KS > 0.2 通常认为有区分能力
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- **优势**:不依赖阈值,提供最佳分割点位置信息
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### Additional Metrics
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| Metric | Formula | 适用场景 |
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|--------|---------|---------|
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| F1 Score | $2 \times \frac{precision \times recall}{precision + recall}$ | 类别不平衡 |
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| RMSE | $\sqrt{\frac{1}{n}\sum(y_i - \hat{y}_i)^2}$ | 回归模型 |
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| Log Loss | $-\frac{1}{N}\sum[y_i \log p_i + (1-y_i)\log(1-p_i)]$ | 概率质量 |
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## Usage
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```python
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from sklearn.metrics import roc_auc_score, f1_score
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from scipy.stats import ks_2samp
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def discrimination_report(y_true, y_score):
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auc = roc_auc_score(y_true, y_score)
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gini = 2 * auc - 1
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ks_stat, ks_pval = ks_2samp(y_score[y_true == 1], y_score[y_true == 0])
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return {
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"AUC": round(auc, 4),
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"Gini": round(gini, 4),
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"KS": round(ks_stat, 4),
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"KS_pvalue": round(ks_pval, 6),
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}
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```
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## Model QA 中的应用
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Model QA Specialist 执行以下判别能力审计:
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1. **全数据切片分析**:在 Train/Validation/Test/OOT 四个数据切片上分别计算 AUC/Gini/KS
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2. **子群体性能**:在性别/年龄/地区等受保护属性上分别测试,发现公平性隐患
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3. **时间稳定性**:跨 OOT 窗口追踪 AUC/Gini 趋势,识别性能衰减
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4. **冠军-挑战者对比**:Proposed model vs. incumbent production model,量化相对提升
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## Relationship
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- **被依赖** [[Calibration-Testing]]:先确认判别能力(KS > 0.2, AUC > 0.7),再测试校准
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- **依赖** [[Population-Stability-Index]]:PSI 监控输入稳定性,判别指标监控输出健康度
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- **依赖** [[SHAP]]:判别指标提供"是否好"的答案,SHAP 解释"为什么"
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- **支撑** [[specialized-model-qa]](Source):Model QA Specialist 的核心性能评估步骤
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## Key Insights
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- **判别度 vs 校准**:高 AUC 模型仍可能在特定概率区间严重校准偏差;两者必须同时评估
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- **KS vs AUC**:KS 对尾部区分更敏感(抓坏人),AUC 对整体排序更均衡
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- **监管门槛**:金融风控通常要求 Gini > 0.4(相当于 AUC > 0.7)方可上线
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