38 lines
1.4 KiB
Markdown
38 lines
1.4 KiB
Markdown
---
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title: "Roadmap (Now / Next / Later)"
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type: concept
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tags: [product-management, planning, roadmap]
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sources: [product-manager.md]
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last_updated: 2026-04-20
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---
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## Definition
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产品路线图是按时间维度（当前季度/下个 1-2 季度/3-6 个月）组织的产品组合视图，通过 Now/Next/Later 三层结构管理产品赌注。
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## Three Horizons
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| Horizon | Timeframe | Commitment | Confidence |
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|---------|-----------|------------|------------|
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| Now | 当前季度 | 完全对齐，工程、设计、PM 已达成一致 | 高 |
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| Next | 下个 1-2 季度 | 方向承诺，需要 scoping 后才能开发 | 中 |
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| Later | 3-6 个月 | 战略赌注，未排期，有信号才推进 | 低 |
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## Now Section
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包含：initiative、user problem、success metric、owner、status、ETA
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## Next Section
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包含：initiative、hypothesis、expected outcome、confidence、blocker
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## Later Section
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包含：initiative、strategic hypothesis、signal needed to advance
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## Explicit Not-Building List
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公开说明不构建什么及原因，防止重复请求并建立信任。
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## North Star Metric
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路线图必须定义北极星指标——最好地捕捉用户是否获得价值和业务是否健康的单一指标。
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## Connection
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- [[Product Manager Agent]] ← owns ← [[Roadmap (Now / Next / Later)]]
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- [[Opportunity Assessment]] ← informs ← [[Roadmap (Now / Next / Later)]]
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- [[RICE Prioritization Score]] ← ranks ← [[Roadmap (Now / Next / Later)]]
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