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nexus/wiki/concepts/Opportunity-Assessment.md
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---
title: "Opportunity Assessment"
type: concept
tags: [product-management, prioritization, decision-framework]
sources: [product-manager.md]
last_updated: 2026-04-20
---
## Definition
机会评估是在讨论解决方案之前编写的文档,通过 RICE 框架量化机会价值,支撑 build/explore/defer/kill 决策。
## Structure
1. **Why Now?**:市场信号、用户行为变化或竞争压力,为什么现在紧急
2. **User Evidence**访谈发现、行为数据、support 信号
3. **Business Case**:收入影响、成本影响、战略契合度、市场规模
4. **RICE Prioritization Score**R × I × C ÷ E
5. **Options Considered**:构建/MVP/购买/延期选项对比
6. **Recommendation**Build / Explore further / Defer / Kill + 理由 + 下一步
## RICE Score Formula
| Factor | Description |
|--------|-------------|
| Reach | 每季度触达用户数 |
| Impact | 对指标的影响0.25/0.5/1/2/3 |
| Confidence | 信心水平(% |
| Effort | 人力月数 |
| **Score** | **(R × I × C) ÷ E** |
## Use Case
- 在进入 PRD 编写前做优先级决策
- 对齐 leadership 对战略契合和资源意愿
- 正式 build/defer/kill 推荐文档化推理
## Connection
- [[Product Manager Agent]] ← conducts ← [[Opportunity Assessment]]
- [[RICE Prioritization Score]] ← calculated_in ← [[Opportunity Assessment]]
- [[Roadmap (Now / Next / Later)]] ← informed_by ← [[Opportunity Assessment]]